+7.5(-110)
SPREAD
-7(-110)
TOTAL · 48.5
O 48.5(-110)U 49.5(-110)
U 49.5(-110)+225
MONEYLINENCSU 73%
-270
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #77 | +0.02 | SOS Played | +0.18 | #10 |
| #68 | +0.08 | SOS Remaining | -0.00 | #87 |
| Offense | ||||
| #86 | -0.06 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.08 | #34 |
| #106 | +0.03 | EPA / Play | +0.13 | #54 |
| #99 | 5.4 | Yards / Play | 6.3 | #36 |
| #107 | 38.3% | Success Rate | 40.9% | #86 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #93 | +0.01 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.01 | #89 |
| #77 | +0.13 | EPA / Play | +0.23 | #125 |
| #27 | 5.3 | Yards / Play | 6.9 | #131 |
| #59 | 41.5% | Success Rate | 41.4% | #58 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 UNC Offense | vs |  NCSU Defense | ||
| #88 | +0.05 | EPA / Pass | +0.28 | #118 |
| #108 | -0.00 | EPA / Rush | +0.17 | #113 |
| #125 | 35.3% | Available Yards % | 57.5% | #129 |
| #68 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #93 |
| #120 | -0.06 | Early Downs EPA | +0.10 | #93 |
| #83 | 40.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 47.4% | #116 |
| #56 | 6.9 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.2 | #49 |
| UNC Defense | vs | NCSU Offense | ||
| #66 | +0.11 | EPA / Pass | +0.21 | #40 |
| #91 | +0.14 | EPA / Rush | +0.05 | #83 |
| #53 | 44.4% | Available Yards % | 43.6% | #80 |
| #46 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 27 | #123 |
| #38 | +0.00 | Early Downs EPA | +0.09 | #48 |
| #111 | 46.4% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 40.8% | #78 |
| #23 | 7.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.4 | #101 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#45 | 1.6 | Sacks Taken | 1.9 | T-#70 |
| T-#17 | 0.5 | INTs Thrown | 0.9 | T-#79 |
| T-#120 | 0.8 | Fumbles Lost | 0.2 | T-#9 |
| T-#72 | 1.3 | Turnovers | 1.1 | T-#41 |
| #81 | 6.4 | Penalties | 5.4 | T-#37 |
| #87 | 57.2 | Penalty Yards | 50.7 | #54 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#23 | 2.6 | Sacks | 1.2 | T-#119 |
| T-#106 | 0.5 | INTs | 0.8 | T-#56 |
| T-#79 | 0.4 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.4 | T-#79 |
| T-#105 | 0.9 | Takeaways | 1.2 | T-#69 |
| T-#90 | 5.5 | Penalties Drawn | 6.7 | T-#41 |
| T-#68 | 54.2 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 58.2 | #45 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#84 | 5-6 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 7-6 | T-#50 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Bill Belichick | Head Coach | Dave Doeren | ||
| T-#90 | 2 | Seasons at School | 14 | #5 |
| T-#118 | 4-8 | Career Record | 118-74 | #42 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 8 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Giovanni Lopez | QB | CJ Bailey | ||
| #118 | +0.07 | EPA / Att | +0.32 | #43 |
| #101 | 41.4% | Success Rate | 46.6% | #46 |
| #127 | 1.22 | Explosiveness | 1.56 | #38 |
| #6 | 1.7% | Sack Rate | 4.8% | #69 |
| #49 | +0.33 | Rush EPA | +0.25 | #70 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 91.4thWR | Jordan Shipp+40.6 | Playmaker · PPA | Terrell Anderson+43.9 | 93.6thWR |
| 70.0thWR | Kobe Paysour+16.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Wesley Grimes+31.0 | 85.5thWR |
| 97.5thDL | Melkart Abou Jaoude+15.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Caden Fordham+21.4 | T-#23LB |
| 95.0thLB | Andrew Simpson+15.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Devon Marshall+19.8 | 96.4thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#34 | 17 | 4★ Players | 18 | T-#31 |
| T-#57 | 49 | 3★ Players | 51 | T-#50 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||