-7(-108)
SPREAD
+7(-110)
TOTAL · 45.5
O 45.5(-108)U 45.5(-110)
U 45.5(-110)-290
MONEYLINEFRES 74%
+265
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #111 | -0.11 | SOS Played | +0.13 | #17 |
| #71 | -0.01 | SOS Remaining | -0.01 | #69 |
| Offense | ||||
| #60 | +0.01 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.26 | #130 |
| #38 | +0.20 | EPA / Play | -0.17 | #134 |
| #41 | 6.3 | Yards / Play | 4.6 | #133 |
| #75 | 41.5% | Success Rate | 30.7% | #133 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #57 | -0.04 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.01 | #70 |
| #36 | +0.04 | EPA / Play | +0.21 | #102 |
| #79 | 5.9 | Yards / Play | 6.4 | #101 |
| #67 | 42.0% | Success Rate | 50.1% | #129 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 FRES Offense | vs |  SDSU Defense | ||
| #23 | +0.36 | EPA / Pass | +0.41 | #126 |
| #98 | +0.04 | EPA / Rush | +0.06 | #54 |
| #57 | 48.5% | Available Yards % | 55.8% | #116 |
| #6 | Own 34 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 32 | #110 |
| #27 | +0.19 | Early Downs EPA | +0.19 | #114 |
| #97 | 36.5% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 46.1% | #106 |
| #32 | 6.4 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.0 | #129 |
| FRES Defense | vs | SDSU Offense | ||
| #21 | -0.02 | EPA / Pass | -0.19 | #132 |
| #68 | +0.10 | EPA / Rush | -0.15 | #136 |
| #39 | 41.3% | Available Yards % | 27.7% | #135 |
| #1 | Own 23 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #77 |
| #51 | +0.03 | Early Downs EPA | -0.13 | #131 |
| #43 | 37.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 23.4% | #135 |
| #59 | 7.2 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.5 | #92 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#47 | 1.5 | Sacks Taken | 1.4 | T-#38 |
| T-#8 | 0.2 | INTs Thrown | 1.0 | T-#95 |
| T-#51 | 0.3 | Fumbles Lost | 0.2 | T-#15 |
| T-#8 | 0.5 | Turnovers | 1.2 | T-#64 |
| T-#10 | 4.5 | Penalties | 5.4 | T-#30 |
| #6 | 32.0 | Penalty Yards | 46.2 | T-#30 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| #58 | 2.2 | Sacks | 1.8 | T-#73 |
| T-#25 | 1.2 | INTs | 0.6 | T-#66 |
| T-#39 | 0.7 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.2 | T-#112 |
| #13 | 1.8 | Takeaways | 0.8 | T-#97 |
| T-#75 | 6.5 | Penalties Drawn | 7.2 | T-#49 |
| #95 | 50.3 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 58.4 | #60 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#9 | 5-1 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 1-5 | T-#134 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Matt Entz | Head Coach | Sean Lewis | ||
| T-#78 | 2 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#55 |
| T-#18 | 9-4 | Career Record | 36-44 | #96 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 316 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Jayden Mandal | QB | Jayden Denegal | ||
| #41 | +0.39 | EPA / Att | -0.05 | #133 |
| #56 | 47.6% | Success Rate | 32.1% | #134 |
| #81 | 1.49 | Explosiveness | 1.55 | #62 |
| #24 | 2.8% | Sack Rate | 4.8% | #59 |
| #54 | +0.30 | Rush EPA | -0.14 | #125 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 97.0thWR | Josiah Freeman+31.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Javion Kinnard+10.8 | 83.6thRB |
| 87.8thWR | Ezekiel Avit+18.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Jackson Ford+3.6 | 69.0thTE |
| #14DB | Simeon Harris+14.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Mike Lindsay+10.5 | 97.2thDB |
| 96.2thDB | Ethan Tierney+9.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Djibril Rahman+6.8 | 95.7thDL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#120 | 1 | 4★ Players | 2 | T-#110 |
| T-#13 | 71 | 3★ Players | 64 | T-#33 |
| Transfers | ||||
6 in · 4 out | OFF Transfers | 11 in · 4 out | ||
6 in · 6 out | DEF Transfers | 14 in · 8 out | ||
| 39% | OFF Returning | 99% | ||
| 51% | DEF Returning | 31% | ||