+20(-110)
SPREAD
-19.5(-115)
TOTAL · 56.5
O 56.5(-110)U 56.5(-105)
U 56.5(-105)+900
MONEYLINEMIA 94%
-1600
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #54 | +0.03 | SOS Played | -0.02 | #74 |
| #42 | +0.10 | SOS Remaining | +0.12 | #35 |
| Offense | ||||
| #40 | +0.09 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.25 | #7 |
| #41 | +0.20 | EPA / Play | +0.37 | #3 |
| #48 | 6.2 | Yards / Play | 7.4 | #7 |
| #50 | 43.9% | Success Rate | 53.5% | #2 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #108 | +0.12 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.11 | #36 |
| #112 | +0.24 | EPA / Play | -0.00 | #24 |
| #121 | 6.9 | Yards / Play | 4.9 | #13 |
| #94 | 44.5% | Success Rate | 36.4% | #21 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 FSU Offense | vs |  MIA Defense | ||
| #83 | +0.08 | EPA / Pass | +0.06 | #50 |
| #9 | +0.29 | EPA / Rush | -0.14 | #6 |
| #54 | 48.8% | Available Yards % | 34.4% | #14 |
| #106 | Own 27 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 26 | #30 |
| #67 | +0.06 | Early Downs EPA | -0.03 | #26 |
| #34 | 47.6% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 39.4% | #58 |
| #39 | 6.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.5 | #38 |
| FSU Defense | vs | MIA Offense | ||
| #98 | +0.24 | EPA / Pass | +0.61 | #2 |
| #118 | +0.24 | EPA / Rush | +0.12 | #63 |
| #107 | 53.7% | Available Yards % | 61.7% | #6 |
| #57 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #91 |
| #97 | +0.13 | Early Downs EPA | +0.27 | #10 |
| T-#85 | 43.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 52.1% | #10 |
| #4 | 8.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.5 | #45 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#119 | 3.0 | Sacks Taken | 1.3 | T-#29 |
| T-#113 | 1.2 | INTs Thrown | 0.3 | T-#23 |
| T-#15 | 0.2 | Fumbles Lost | 0.3 | T-#35 |
| T-#83 | 1.4 | Turnovers | 0.5 | T-#8 |
| T-#30 | 5.4 | Penalties | 7.8 | T-#109 |
| #39 | 48.2 | Penalty Yards | 72.5 | #121 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#12 | 3.0 | Sacks | 3.5 | T-#5 |
| T-#66 | 0.6 | INTs | 0.8 | T-#52 |
| T-#69 | 0.4 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.8 | T-#29 |
| T-#70 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 1.5 | T-#34 |
| T-#84 | 6.2 | Penalties Drawn | 9.5 | T-#3 |
| T-#91 | 51.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 79.8 | T-#9 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#106 | 2-4 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 4-1 | T-#13 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Mike Norvell | Head Coach | Mario Cristobal | ||
| T-#15 | 7 | Seasons at School | 5 | T-#30 |
| #49 | 76-50 | Career Record | 97-78 | #68 |
| Situation | ||||
| 8 days | Rest | 14 days | ||
| 396 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Ashton Daniels | QB | Darian Mensah | ||
| #75 | +0.27 | EPA / Att | +0.81 | #1 |
| #87 | 43.8% | Success Rate | 66.9% | #1 |
| #4 | 1.88 | Explosiveness | 1.46 | #91 |
| #116 | 8.4% | Sack Rate | 2.9% | #26 |
| #15 | +0.58 | Rush EPA | +0.68 | #7 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 94.9thRB | Ousmane Kromah+20.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Malachi Toney+41.7 | #8WR |
| 88.6thWR | Micahi Danzy+18.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Cooper Barkate+20.4 | 90.9thWR |
| T-#13DL | Rylan Kennedy+10.3 | Defender · Havoc EPA | 96.6thDL | |
| 90.0thLB | Mikai Gbayor+5.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Damon Wilson II+6.4 | 94.7thDL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#23 | 1 | 5★ Players | 6 | T-#8 |
| #22 | 28 | 4★ Players | 45 | T-#6 |
| T-#92 | 50 | 3★ Players | 34 | T-#118 |
| Transfers | ||||
10 in · 19 out | OFF Transfers | 6 in · 9 out | ||
8 in · 16 out | DEF Transfers | 4 in · 12 out | ||
| 39% | OFF Returning | 37% | ||
| 49% | DEF Returning | 46% | ||