+4(-110)
SPREAD
-4(-110)
TOTAL · 59.5
O 59.5(-112)
U 60(-110)
U 60(-110)+190
MONEYLINELOU 65%
-185
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #54 | +0.04 | SOS Played | +0.03 | #57 |
| #43 | +0.10 | SOS Remaining | +0.02 | #68 |
| Offense | ||||
| #28 | +0.15 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.07 | #45 |
| #26 | +0.25 | EPA / Play | +0.24 | #32 |
| #30 | 6.6 | Yards / Play | 7.1 | #12 |
| #48 | 43.8% | Success Rate | 45.1% | #40 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #87 | +0.06 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.00 | #69 |
| #84 | +0.18 | EPA / Play | +0.21 | #96 |
| #99 | 6.3 | Yards / Play | 6.3 | #91 |
| #71 | 42.1% | Success Rate | 42.8% | #78 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| FSU Offense | vs | LOU Defense | ||
| #61 | +0.16 | EPA / Pass | +0.44 | #130 |
| #7 | +0.31 | EPA / Rush | +0.01 | #34 |
| #52 | 49.1% | Available Yards % | 52.1% | #101 |
| #100 | Own 27 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #77 |
| #53 | +0.09 | Early Downs EPA | +0.18 | #109 |
| T-#31 | 48.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 40.9% | #66 |
| #34 | 6.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.3 | #116 |
| FSU Defense | vs | LOU Offense | ||
| #91 | +0.23 | EPA / Pass | +0.28 | #39 |
| #69 | +0.11 | EPA / Rush | +0.19 | #38 |
| #92 | 50.8% | Available Yards % | 47.9% | #59 |
| #53 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #73 |
| #48 | +0.02 | Early Downs EPA | +0.21 | #26 |
| #86 | 43.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 40.4% | T-#74 |
| #8 | 8.6 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.1 | #120 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#106 | 2.8 | Sacks Taken | 2.5 | T-#99 |
| T-#111 | 1.3 | INTs Thrown | 0.3 | T-#15 |
| T-#22 | 0.3 | Fumbles Lost | 0.8 | T-#93 |
| T-#85 | 1.5 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#47 |
| T-#38 | 5.8 | Penalties | 8.0 | T-#112 |
| T-#59 | 54.3 | Penalty Yards | 80.5 | T-#129 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#6 | 3.5 | Sacks | 1.8 | T-#73 |
| T-#51 | 0.8 | INTs | 1.0 | T-#28 |
| T-#55 | 0.5 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.8 | T-#25 |
| T-#49 | 1.3 | Takeaways | 1.8 | T-#23 |
| T-#58 | 6.8 | Penalties Drawn | 7.8 | T-#32 |
| T-#80 | 55.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 72.8 | #23 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#106 | 2-4 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 4-2 | T-#22 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Mike Norvell | Head Coach | Jeff Brohm | ||
| T-#15 | 7 | Seasons at School | 4 | T-#44 |
| #49 | 76-50 | Career Record | 94-56 | #38 |
| Situation | ||||
| 6 days | Rest | 6 days | ||
| 543 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Ashton Daniels | QB | Lincoln Kienholz | ||
| #56 | +0.34 | EPA / Att | +0.55 | #12 |
| #75 | 45.7% | Success Rate | 52.5% | #27 |
| #4 | 1.92 | Explosiveness | 1.63 | #35 |
| #114 | 8.7% | Sack Rate | 6.0% | #87 |
| #16 | +0.60 | Rush EPA | +0.33 | #52 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 94.9thRB | Ousmane Kromah+20.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Tre Richardson+34.0 | #20WR |
| 88.6thWR | Micahi Danzy+18.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Lawayne McCoy+20.5 | 91.0thWR |
| T-#13DL | Rylan Kennedy+10.3 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Kaleb Beasley+20.9 | #2DB |
| 90.0thLB | Mikai Gbayor+5.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Stanquan Clark+9.9 | 97.4thLB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#23 | 1 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| #22 | 28 | 4★ Players | 19 | T-#33 |
| T-#92 | 50 | 3★ Players | 51 | T-#88 |
| Transfers | ||||
10 in · 19 out | OFF Transfers | 16 in · 18 out | ||
8 in · 16 out | DEF Transfers | 14 in · 12 out | ||
| 39% | OFF Returning | 30% | ||
| 49% | DEF Returning | 51% | ||