Lines not yet posted by tracked sportsbooks.
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #85 | -0.05 | SOS Played | -0.09 | #104 |
| #135 | -0.26 | SOS Remaining | -0.19 | #121 |
| Offense | ||||
| #100 | -0.10 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.02 | #56 |
| #107 | +0.02 | EPA / Play | +0.16 | #53 |
| #135 | 4.3 | Yards / Play | 6.0 | #58 |
| #134 | 30.4% | Success Rate | 37.4% | #116 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #110 | +0.11 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.16 | #119 |
| #95 | +0.19 | EPA / Play | +0.23 | #113 |
| #112 | 6.7 | Yards / Play | 6.5 | #105 |
| #66 | 41.9% | Success Rate | 46.6% | #111 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 BUF Offense | vs |  M-OH Defense | ||
| #112 | -0.02 | EPA / Pass | +0.37 | #122 |
| #81 | +0.06 | EPA / Rush | +0.03 | #37 |
| #127 | 33.7% | Available Yards % | 53.9% | #110 |
| #110 | Own 27 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 25 | #10 |
| #127 | -0.09 | Early Downs EPA | +0.15 | #102 |
| T-#112 | 33.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 45.3% | #102 |
| #60 | 6.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.4 | #114 |
| BUF Defense | vs | M-OH Offense | ||
| #120 | +0.36 | EPA / Pass | +0.27 | #34 |
| #39 | +0.03 | EPA / Rush | +0.04 | #93 |
| #92 | 50.1% | Available Yards % | 45.5% | #71 |
| #93 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 33 | #16 |
| #114 | +0.19 | Early Downs EPA | +0.08 | #64 |
| T-#35 | 35.6% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 37.7% | #92 |
| #22 | 7.9 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.3 | #129 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#126 | 3.3 | Sacks Taken | 2.8 | T-#114 |
| T-#22 | 0.3 | INTs Thrown | 0.4 | T-#29 |
| T-#119 | 1.0 | Fumbles Lost | 0.4 | T-#52 |
| T-#73 | 1.3 | Turnovers | 0.8 | T-#32 |
| T-#21 | 5.0 | Penalties | 7.6 | T-#100 |
| #11 | 37.0 | Penalty Yards | 66.4 | T-#101 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#117 | 1.0 | Sacks | 2.0 | T-#60 |
| T-#133 | 0.0 | INTs | 0.2 | T-#122 |
| T-#7 | 1.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.6 | T-#40 |
| T-#74 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 0.8 | T-#97 |
| T-#18 | 8.3 | Penalties Drawn | 5.8 | T-#97 |
| #9 | 80.8 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 51.2 | T-#90 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#106 | 2-4 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-3 | T-#53 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Pete Lembo | Head Coach | Chuck Martin | ||
| T-#55 | 3 | Seasons at School | 13 | T-#5 |
| #71 | 47-40 | Career Record | 72-74 | T-#86 |
| Situation | ||||
| 10 days | Rest | 10 days | ||
| 392 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Jason Wright | QB | Caleb Heavner | ||
| #123 | +0.06 | EPA / Att | +0.20 | #98 |
| #131 | 34.9% | Success Rate | 35.8% | #129 |
| #60 | 1.55 | Explosiveness | 1.57 | #58 |
| #113 | 7.9% | Sack Rate | 11.7% | #132 |
| #71 | +0.20 | Rush EPA | +0.37 | #36 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 95.4thWR | Chance Morrow+28.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Maleek Huggins+28.3 | 95.2thWR |
| 78.5thRB | Nino Hill+8.4 | Playmaker · PPA | 89.6thWR | |
| 95.2thLB | SaVeon Brown+7.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | CJ Young+6.8 | 92.3thLB |
| 91.9thDL | Logan Goodwin+5.1 | Defender · Havoc EPA | 94.8thDL | |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#129 | 0 | 4★ Players | 5 | T-#83 |
| T-#55 | 60 | 3★ Players | 78 | T-#3 |
| Transfers | ||||
5 in · 4 out | OFF Transfers | 14 in · 6 out | ||
10 in · 10 out | DEF Transfers | 10 in · 7 out | ||
| 7% | OFF Returning | 17% | ||
| 24% | DEF Returning | 37% | ||