Lines not yet posted by tracked sportsbooks.
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | +0.27 | SOS Played | -0.12 | #118 |
| #62 | +0.02 | SOS Remaining | -0.07 | #87 |
| Offense | ||||
| #22 | +0.15 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.04 | #80 |
| #102 | +0.03 | EPA / Play | +0.19 | #48 |
| #83 | 5.7 | Yards / Play | 6.3 | #41 |
| #79 | 41.2% | Success Rate | 43.6% | #53 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #54 | -0.05 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.05 | #86 |
| #59 | +0.09 | EPA / Play | +0.14 | #77 |
| #48 | 5.5 | Yards / Play | 6.4 | #97 |
| #92 | 43.7% | Success Rate | 45.3% | #104 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 UNC Offense | vs |  CONN Defense | ||
| #94 | +0.04 | EPA / Pass | +0.22 | #94 |
| #102 | +0.02 | EPA / Rush | +0.05 | #49 |
| #108 | 38.5% | Available Yards % | 55.9% | #119 |
| #74 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #81 |
| #106 | -0.02 | Early Downs EPA | +0.04 | #55 |
| #89 | 38.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 46.4% | #109 |
| #57 | 6.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.8 | #83 |
| UNC Defense | vs | CONN Offense | ||
| #41 | +0.04 | EPA / Pass | +0.14 | #65 |
| #86 | +0.14 | EPA / Rush | +0.23 | #28 |
| #88 | 48.8% | Available Yards % | 49.7% | #50 |
| #123 | Own 33 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #77 |
| #92 | +0.12 | Early Downs EPA | +0.17 | #33 |
| #59 | 39.4% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 40.0% | T-#76 |
| #119 | 6.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.3 | #127 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#104 | 2.5 | Sacks Taken | 3.4 | T-#129 |
| T-#124 | 1.3 | INTs Thrown | 0.2 | T-#11 |
| T-#99 | 0.8 | Fumbles Lost | 0.8 | T-#109 |
| T-#123 | 2.0 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#41 |
| #2 | 3.5 | Penalties | 8.2 | #123 |
| #1 | 24.3 | Penalty Yards | 68.0 | #108 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#60 | 2.0 | Sacks | 1.8 | T-#77 |
| T-#54 | 0.8 | INTs | 0.8 | T-#40 |
| T-#57 | 0.5 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.6 | T-#40 |
| T-#51 | 1.3 | Takeaways | 1.4 | T-#42 |
| T-#101 | 5.8 | Penalties Drawn | 5.0 | T-#116 |
| #108 | 47.3 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 49.8 | T-#99 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#43 | 3-2 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 4-2 | T-#22 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Bill Belichick | Head Coach | Jason Candle | ||
| T-#78 | 2 | Seasons at School | 1 | T-#109 |
| T-#111 | 4-8 | Career Record | 81-44 | #31 |
| Situation | ||||
| 8 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 532 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Billy Edwards | QB | Kalieb Osborne | ||
| #89 | +0.23 | EPA / Att | +0.39 | #40 |
| #48 | 48.5% | Success Rate | 49.7% | #35 |
| #119 | 1.35 | Explosiveness | 1.70 | #22 |
| #98 | 7.0% | Sack Rate | 7.8% | #109 |
| #55 | +0.28 | Rush EPA | +0.44 | #31 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 91.9thWR | Jordan Shipp+21.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Cyncir Bowers+27.5 | #18RB |
| 90.3thTE | Shamar Easter+10.1 | Playmaker · PPA | Shamar Porter+16.6 | 85.6thWR |
| T-#9DB | Greg Smith+15.1 | Defender · Havoc EPA | K'Von Sherman+10.4 | #24LB |
| #6DL | Xavier Lewis+12.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Anas Luqman+8.6 | 98.0thDL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#26 | 25 | 4★ Players | 6 | T-#76 |
| T-#46 | 62 | 3★ Players | 63 | T-#40 |
| Transfers | ||||
12 in · 18 out | OFF Transfers | 27 in · 26 out | ||
6 in · 14 out | DEF Transfers | 28 in · 21 out | ||
| 31% | OFF Returning | 2% | ||
| 39% | DEF Returning | 2% | ||