Lines not yet posted by tracked sportsbooks.
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #54 | +0.03 | SOS Played | +0.08 | #36 |
| #14 | +0.20 | SOS Remaining | +0.12 | #37 |
| Offense | ||||
| #20 | +0.15 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.19 | #17 |
| #64 | +0.14 | EPA / Play | +0.29 | #18 |
| #76 | 5.8 | Yards / Play | 7.5 | #6 |
| #106 | 38.4% | Success Rate | 50.0% | T-#12 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #36 | -0.10 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.22 | #13 |
| #10 | -0.07 | EPA / Play | -0.03 | #16 |
| #8 | 4.7 | Yards / Play | 5.1 | #21 |
| #28 | 37.7% | Success Rate | 36.0% | #18 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 BAY Offense | vs |  BYU Defense | ||
| #40 | +0.25 | EPA / Pass | -0.03 | #20 |
| #101 | +0.03 | EPA / Rush | -0.03 | #21 |
| #52 | 49.2% | Available Yards % | 36.0% | #21 |
| #10 | Own 33 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 27 | #35 |
| #63 | +0.08 | Early Downs EPA | -0.07 | #16 |
| #59 | 42.9% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 32.8% | #18 |
| #98 | 7.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.0 | #19 |
| BAY Defense | vs | BYU Offense | ||
| #22 | -0.02 | EPA / Pass | +0.16 | #60 |
| #5 | -0.14 | EPA / Rush | +0.38 | #1 |
| #43 | 42.1% | Available Yards % | 50.8% | #45 |
| #31 | Own 26 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #62 |
| #31 | -0.01 | Early Downs EPA | +0.29 | #5 |
| #28 | 34.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 44.9% | #42 |
| #32 | 7.7 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.8 | T-#55 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#60 | 1.8 | Sacks Taken | 0.5 | T-#4 |
| T-#41 | 0.5 | INTs Thrown | 0.5 | T-#41 |
| T-#99 | 0.8 | Fumbles Lost | 0.3 | T-#35 |
| T-#73 | 1.3 | Turnovers | 0.8 | T-#28 |
| T-#77 | 7.0 | Penalties | 7.0 | T-#77 |
| T-#90 | 62.8 | Penalty Yards | 59.5 | #73 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#5 | 3.5 | Sacks | 2.5 | T-#33 |
| T-#11 | 1.3 | INTs | 0.8 | T-#54 |
| T-#7 | 1.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.0 | T-#132 |
| T-#7 | 2.3 | Takeaways | 0.8 | T-#111 |
| T-#82 | 6.3 | Penalties Drawn | 4.8 | T-#123 |
| #70 | 56.3 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 34.3 | #133 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#13 | 4-1 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 5-0 | T-#1 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Dave Aranda | Head Coach | Kalani Sitake | ||
| T-#15 | 7 | Seasons at School | 11 | T-#9 |
| T-#86 | 36-37 | Career Record | 84-45 | #30 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 1,009 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| D.J. Lagway | QB | Bear Bachmeier | ||
| #67 | +0.28 | EPA / Att | +0.33 | #53 |
| #115 | 39.1% | Success Rate | 49.1% | #39 |
| #12 | 1.81 | Explosiveness | 1.39 | #108 |
| #24 | 2.9% | Sack Rate | 2.5% | #17 |
| #130 | -0.38 | Rush EPA | +0.74 | #4 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #17WR | Gavin Freeman+35.9 | Playmaker · PPA | Legend Glasker+30.8 | 96.5thWR |
| 89.3thWR | Louis Brown IV+19.4 | Playmaker · PPA | LJ Martin+19.0 | 93.8thRB |
| 98.2thDB | Devon Jordan+11.3 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Tausili Akana+8.0 | 97.4thDL |
| 96.2thDL | Ryan Davis+7.3 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Cade Uluave+7.5 | 94.3thLB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#23 | 1 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#38 | 17 | 4★ Players | 8 | T-#65 |
| T-#22 | 67 | 3★ Players | 45 | T-#104 |
| Transfers | ||||
12 in · 8 out | OFF Transfers | 6 in · 5 out | ||
18 in · 17 out | DEF Transfers | 3 in · 2 out | ||
| 61% | OFF Returning | 79% | ||
| 62% | DEF Returning | 73% | ||