+5.5(-110)
SPREAD
-4.5(-110)
TOTAL · 50
O 50(-110)U 50.5(-115)
U 50.5(-115)+200
MONEYLINEBAY 67%
-205
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #10 | +0.18 | SOS Played | +0.02 | #58 |
| #32 | +0.13 | SOS Remaining | +0.21 | #14 |
| Offense | ||||
| #85 | -0.06 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.15 | #25 |
| #112 | +0.01 | EPA / Play | +0.14 | #64 |
| #77 | 5.7 | Yards / Play | 5.8 | #75 |
| #103 | 38.6% | Success Rate | 38.4% | #105 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #2 | -0.31 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.09 | #38 |
| #12 | -0.06 | EPA / Play | -0.07 | #11 |
| #10 | 4.7 | Yards / Play | 4.7 | #9 |
| #33 | 38.2% | Success Rate | 37.7% | #29 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 TCU Offense | vs |  BAY Defense | ||
| #62 | +0.15 | EPA / Pass | -0.02 | #23 |
| #132 | -0.13 | EPA / Rush | -0.14 | #5 |
| #84 | 43.1% | Available Yards % | 42.1% | #43 |
| #68 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 26 | #32 |
| #118 | -0.06 | Early Downs EPA | -0.01 | #32 |
| #64 | 42.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 34.2% | #27 |
| #95 | 7.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.7 | #31 |
| TCU Defense | vs | BAY Offense | ||
| #12 | -0.10 | EPA / Pass | +0.25 | #40 |
| #23 | -0.02 | EPA / Rush | +0.03 | #100 |
| #25 | 37.3% | Available Yards % | 49.2% | #52 |
| #62 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 33 | #11 |
| #24 | -0.04 | Early Downs EPA | +0.08 | #58 |
| #29 | 35.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 42.9% | #60 |
| #84 | 6.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.5 | #97 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#119 | 3.0 | Sacks Taken | 1.8 | T-#61 |
| T-#95 | 1.0 | INTs Thrown | 0.5 | T-#45 |
| T-#96 | 0.8 | Fumbles Lost | 0.8 | T-#96 |
| T-#105 | 1.8 | Turnovers | 1.3 | T-#73 |
| T-#78 | 7.0 | Penalties | 7.0 | T-#78 |
| #81 | 60.3 | Penalty Yards | 62.8 | T-#89 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#60 | 2.0 | Sacks | 3.5 | T-#5 |
| T-#131 | 0.0 | INTs | 1.3 | T-#11 |
| T-#7 | 1.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 1.0 | T-#7 |
| T-#70 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 2.3 | T-#7 |
| T-#132 | 4.0 | Penalties Drawn | 6.3 | T-#81 |
| #136 | 28.8 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 56.3 | #73 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#87 | 2-3 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 4-1 | T-#13 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Sonny Dykes | Head Coach | Dave Aranda | ||
| T-#30 | 5 | Seasons at School | 7 | T-#15 |
| #61 | 107-79 | Career Record | 36-37 | T-#86 |
| Situation | ||||
| 14 days | Rest | 14 days | ||
| 81 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Jaden Craig | QB | D.J. Lagway | ||
| #47 | +0.37 | EPA / Att | +0.28 | #68 |
| #41 | 49.0% | Success Rate | 39.1% | #115 |
| #25 | 1.67 | Explosiveness | 1.81 | #12 |
| #108 | 7.6% | Sack Rate | 2.9% | #25 |
| #128 | -0.20 | Rush EPA | -0.38 | #132 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #2TE | Kari Ashley+33.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Gavin Freeman+35.9 | #17WR |
| 93.1thWR | Ed Small+23.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Louis Brown IV+19.4 | 89.3thWR |
| 92.0thDB | Defender · Havoc EPA | Devon Jordan+11.3 | 98.2thDB | |
| 93.6thDL | Ansel Din-Mbuh+5.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Ryan Davis+7.3 | 96.2thDL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 1 | T-#23 |
| T-#36 | 18 | 4★ Players | 17 | T-#38 |
| T-#33 | 64 | 3★ Players | 67 | T-#22 |
| Transfers | ||||
6 in · 7 out | OFF Transfers | 12 in · 8 out | ||
6 in · 7 out | DEF Transfers | 18 in · 17 out | ||
| 24% | OFF Returning | 61% | ||
| 49% | DEF Returning | 62% | ||