Lines not yet posted by tracked sportsbooks.
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #85 | -0.05 | SOS Played | +0.08 | #37 |
| #135 | -0.26 | SOS Remaining | -0.23 | #131 |
| Offense | ||||
| #100 | -0.10 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.09 | #92 |
| #107 | +0.02 | EPA / Play | +0.02 | #113 |
| #135 | 4.3 | Yards / Play | 4.7 | #131 |
| #134 | 30.4% | Success Rate | 35.3% | #126 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #110 | +0.11 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.25 | #136 |
| #95 | +0.19 | EPA / Play | +0.42 | #137 |
| #112 | 6.7 | Yards / Play | 7.3 | #132 |
| #66 | 41.9% | Success Rate | 48.1% | #120 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 BUF Offense | vs |  BALL Defense | ||
| #112 | -0.02 | EPA / Pass | +0.60 | #138 |
| #81 | +0.06 | EPA / Rush | +0.27 | #124 |
| #127 | 33.7% | Available Yards % | 64.2% | #136 |
| #110 | Own 27 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #82 |
| #127 | -0.09 | Early Downs EPA | +0.30 | #133 |
| T-#112 | 33.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 53.9% | #132 |
| #60 | 6.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.4 | #48 |
| BUF Defense | vs | BALL Offense | ||
| #120 | +0.36 | EPA / Pass | +0.07 | #87 |
| #39 | +0.03 | EPA / Rush | -0.05 | #119 |
| #92 | 50.1% | Available Yards % | 33.1% | #130 |
| #93 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 25 | #132 |
| #114 | +0.19 | Early Downs EPA | -0.04 | #117 |
| T-#35 | 35.6% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 35.1% | T-#105 |
| #22 | 7.9 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.3 | #126 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#126 | 3.3 | Sacks Taken | 1.8 | T-#66 |
| T-#22 | 0.3 | INTs Thrown | 0.6 | T-#58 |
| T-#119 | 1.0 | Fumbles Lost | 0.4 | T-#52 |
| T-#73 | 1.3 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#41 |
| T-#21 | 5.0 | Penalties | 8.0 | T-#113 |
| #11 | 37.0 | Penalty Yards | 67.2 | T-#104 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#117 | 1.0 | Sacks | 0.8 | T-#125 |
| T-#133 | 0.0 | INTs | 0.2 | T-#122 |
| T-#7 | 1.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.2 | T-#112 |
| T-#74 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 0.4 | T-#132 |
| T-#18 | 8.3 | Penalties Drawn | 7.8 | T-#28 |
| #9 | 80.8 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 66.6 | #37 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#106 | 2-4 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-3 | T-#53 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Pete Lembo | Head Coach | Mike Uremovich | ||
| T-#55 | 3 | Seasons at School | 2 | T-#78 |
| #71 | 47-40 | Career Record | 4-8 | T-#111 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 393 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Jason Wright | QB | Keldric Luster | ||
| #123 | +0.06 | EPA / Att | +0.10 | #117 |
| #131 | 34.9% | Success Rate | 37.5% | #124 |
| #60 | 1.55 | Explosiveness | 1.47 | #87 |
| #113 | 7.9% | Sack Rate | 5.3% | #72 |
| #71 | +0.20 | Rush EPA | +0.10 | #91 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 95.4thWR | Chance Morrow+28.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Donovan Hamilton+25.1 | 93.7thWR |
| 78.5thRB | Nino Hill+8.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Jabari Smith Jr.+19.4 | 89.1thWR |
| 95.2thLB | SaVeon Brown+7.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Kamron Chamble+9.4 | 96.2thDB |
| 91.9thDL | Logan Goodwin+5.1 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Anthony Pinnace+6.4 | 91.6thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#129 | 0 | 4★ Players | 2 | T-#110 |
| T-#55 | 60 | 3★ Players | 57 | T-#71 |
| Transfers | ||||
5 in · 4 out | OFF Transfers | 12 in · 7 out | ||
10 in · 10 out | DEF Transfers | 16 in · 9 out | ||
| 7% | OFF Returning | 15% | ||
| 24% | DEF Returning | 14% | ||