Lines not yet posted by tracked sportsbooks.
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #83 | -0.04 | SOS Played | -0.05 | #85 |
| #136 | -0.27 | SOS Remaining | -0.26 | #135 |
| Offense | ||||
| #94 | -0.09 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.10 | #100 |
| #73 | +0.11 | EPA / Play | +0.02 | #107 |
| #107 | 5.3 | Yards / Play | 4.3 | #135 |
| #90 | 40.3% | Success Rate | 30.4% | #134 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #85 | +0.05 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.11 | #110 |
| #98 | +0.19 | EPA / Play | +0.19 | #95 |
| T-#90 | 6.2 | Yards / Play | 6.7 | #112 |
| #122 | 48.8% | Success Rate | 41.9% | #66 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 CMU Offense | vs |  BUF Defense | ||
| #127 | -0.11 | EPA / Pass | +0.36 | #120 |
| #20 | +0.24 | EPA / Rush | +0.03 | #39 |
| #121 | 35.6% | Available Yards % | 50.1% | #92 |
| #133 | Own 25 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 31 | #93 |
| #120 | -0.06 | Early Downs EPA | +0.19 | #114 |
| #62 | 42.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 35.6% | T-#35 |
| #28 | 6.4 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.9 | #22 |
| CMU Defense | vs | BUF Offense | ||
| #79 | +0.16 | EPA / Pass | -0.02 | #112 |
| #111 | +0.22 | EPA / Rush | +0.06 | #81 |
| #120 | 56.1% | Available Yards % | 33.7% | #127 |
| #111 | Own 32 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 27 | #110 |
| #62 | +0.06 | Early Downs EPA | -0.09 | #127 |
| #131 | 53.6% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 33.3% | T-#112 |
| T-#60 | 7.2 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.8 | #60 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#86 | 2.2 | Sacks Taken | 3.3 | T-#126 |
| T-#29 | 0.4 | INTs Thrown | 0.3 | T-#22 |
| T-#119 | 1.0 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#119 |
| T-#84 | 1.4 | Turnovers | 1.3 | T-#73 |
| T-#40 | 5.8 | Penalties | 5.0 | T-#21 |
| #57 | 54.6 | Penalty Yards | 37.0 | #11 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#60 | 2.0 | Sacks | 1.0 | T-#117 |
| T-#26 | 1.0 | INTs | 0.0 | T-#133 |
| T-#70 | 0.4 | Fumbles Recovered | 1.0 | T-#7 |
| T-#42 | 1.4 | Takeaways | 1.0 | T-#74 |
| T-#78 | 6.4 | Penalties Drawn | 8.3 | T-#18 |
| #97 | 50.2 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 80.8 | #9 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#106 | 2-4 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 2-4 | T-#106 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Matt Drinkall | Head Coach | Pete Lembo | ||
| T-#78 | 2 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#55 |
| T-#72 | 7-6 | Career Record | 47-40 | #71 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 304 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Angel H Flores | QB | Jason Wright | ||
| #134 | -0.09 | EPA / Att | +0.06 | #123 |
| #134 | 29.9% | Success Rate | 34.9% | #131 |
| #132 | 1.20 | Explosiveness | 1.55 | #60 |
| #131 | 10.7% | Sack Rate | 7.9% | #113 |
| #55 | +0.28 | Rush EPA | +0.20 | #71 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 89.8thRB | Jayden Clerveaux+14.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Chance Morrow+28.8 | 95.4thWR |
| 72.5thRB | Brock Townsend+6.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Nino Hill+8.4 | 78.5thRB |
| 97.7thDB | Justin Taylor+11.0 | Defender · Havoc EPA | SaVeon Brown+7.9 | 95.2thLB |
| 91.1thDB | Coen Ali+6.3 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Logan Goodwin+5.1 | 91.9thDL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#129 | 0 | 4★ Players | 0 | T-#129 |
| T-#49 | 61 | 3★ Players | 60 | T-#55 |
| Transfers | ||||
9 in · 9 out | OFF Transfers | 5 in · 4 out | ||
3 in · 7 out | DEF Transfers | 10 in · 10 out | ||
| 49% | OFF Returning | 7% | ||
| 26% | DEF Returning | 24% | ||