Lines not yet posted by tracked sportsbooks.
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #85 | -0.05 | SOS Played | -0.07 | #99 |
| #135 | -0.26 | SOS Remaining | -0.18 | #118 |
| Offense | ||||
| #100 | -0.10 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.08 | #88 |
| #107 | +0.02 | EPA / Play | +0.06 | #94 |
| #135 | 4.3 | Yards / Play | 5.0 | #119 |
| #134 | 30.4% | Success Rate | 41.0% | #83 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #110 | +0.11 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.28 | #138 |
| #95 | +0.19 | EPA / Play | +0.35 | #133 |
| #112 | 6.7 | Yards / Play | 7.2 | #131 |
| #66 | 41.9% | Success Rate | 47.0% | #114 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 BUF Offense | vs |  AKR Defense | ||
| #112 | -0.02 | EPA / Pass | +0.41 | #126 |
| #81 | +0.06 | EPA / Rush | +0.29 | #127 |
| #127 | 33.7% | Available Yards % | 58.0% | #127 |
| #110 | Own 27 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 31 | #99 |
| #127 | -0.09 | Early Downs EPA | +0.19 | #117 |
| T-#112 | 33.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 48.6% | #117 |
| #60 | 6.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.8 | #87 |
| BUF Defense | vs | AKR Offense | ||
| #120 | +0.36 | EPA / Pass | -0.00 | #105 |
| #39 | +0.03 | EPA / Rush | +0.13 | #59 |
| #92 | 50.1% | Available Yards % | 36.5% | #118 |
| #93 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 24 | #135 |
| #114 | +0.19 | Early Downs EPA | +0.05 | #80 |
| T-#35 | 35.6% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 36.8% | #96 |
| #22 | 7.9 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.1 | #123 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#126 | 3.3 | Sacks Taken | 2.6 | T-#106 |
| T-#22 | 0.3 | INTs Thrown | 1.2 | T-#114 |
| T-#119 | 1.0 | Fumbles Lost | 0.6 | T-#79 |
| T-#73 | 1.3 | Turnovers | 1.8 | T-#114 |
| T-#21 | 5.0 | Penalties | 5.8 | T-#40 |
| #11 | 37.0 | Penalty Yards | 54.8 | T-#58 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#117 | 1.0 | Sacks | 0.2 | #138 |
| T-#133 | 0.0 | INTs | 0.4 | T-#94 |
| T-#7 | 1.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.4 | T-#70 |
| T-#74 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 0.8 | T-#97 |
| T-#18 | 8.3 | Penalties Drawn | 7.0 | T-#52 |
| #9 | 80.8 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 74.4 | T-#18 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#106 | 2-4 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-3 | T-#53 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Pete Lembo | Head Coach | Joe Moorhead | ||
| T-#55 | 3 | Seasons at School | 5 | T-#30 |
| #71 | 47-40 | Career Record | 27-47 | #109 |
| Situation | ||||
| 10 days | Rest | 10 days | ||
| 193 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Jason Wright | QB | Brayden Roggow | ||
| #123 | +0.06 | EPA / Att | +0.24 | #84 |
| #131 | 34.9% | Success Rate | 42.4% | #94 |
| #60 | 1.55 | Explosiveness | 1.49 | #79 |
| #113 | 7.9% | Sack Rate | 7.8% | #111 |
| #71 | +0.20 | Rush EPA | +0.18 | #75 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 95.4thWR | Chance Morrow+28.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Marcel Williams+13.9 | 82.6thWR |
| 78.5thRB | Nino Hill+8.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Sean Patrick+11.4 | 84.4thRB |
| 95.2thLB | SaVeon Brown+7.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Omari Abor+7.1 | 96.1thDL |
| 91.9thDL | Logan Goodwin+5.1 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Tairan Davis Jr.+5.5 | 87.1thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#129 | 0 | 4★ Players | 5 | T-#83 |
| T-#55 | 60 | 3★ Players | 43 | T-#110 |
| Transfers | ||||
5 in · 4 out | OFF Transfers | 7 in · 7 out | ||
10 in · 10 out | DEF Transfers | 9 in · 6 out | ||
| 7% | OFF Returning | 94% | ||
| 24% | DEF Returning | 59% | ||