-6.5(-110)
SPREAD
+7(-110)
TOTAL · 50
O 50(-110)
U 50.5(-110)
U 50.5(-110)-240
MONEYLINEDUKE 71%
+215
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #58 | +0.07 | SOS Played | +0.02 | #75 |
| #56 | +0.09 | SOS Remaining | +0.06 | #65 |
| Offense | ||||
| #39 | +0.06 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.08 | #88 |
| #31 | +0.20 | EPA / Play | +0.00 | #110 |
| #21 | 6.7 | Yards / Play | 5.3 | #104 |
| #27 | 46.0% | Success Rate | 36.9% | #116 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #74 | -0.02 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.00 | #85 |
| #115 | +0.20 | EPA / Play | +0.12 | #75 |
| #128 | 6.8 | Yards / Play | 5.3 | #34 |
| #102 | 44.6% | Success Rate | 41.2% | #57 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 DUKE Offense | vs |  UNC Defense | ||
| #22 | +0.30 | EPA / Pass | +0.12 | #68 |
| #80 | +0.06 | EPA / Rush | +0.13 | #87 |
| #22 | 54.7% | Available Yards % | 42.7% | #40 |
| #61 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #34 |
| #36 | +0.11 | Early Downs EPA | +0.01 | #48 |
| #37 | 45.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 45.6% | #105 |
| #68 | 7.0 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.5 | #28 |
| DUKE Defense | vs | UNC Offense | ||
| #119 | +0.31 | EPA / Pass | +0.02 | #96 |
| #55 | +0.07 | EPA / Rush | -0.02 | #110 |
| #115 | 54.0% | Available Yards % | 34.9% | #126 |
| #35 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #69 |
| #102 | +0.11 | Early Downs EPA | -0.08 | #122 |
| #111 | 46.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 38.3% | #93 |
| #12 | 7.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.0 | #67 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#82 | 2.1 | Sacks Taken | 1.4 | T-#31 |
| T-#14 | 0.4 | INTs Thrown | 0.6 | T-#20 |
| T-#118 | 0.8 | Fumbles Lost | 0.9 | T-#129 |
| T-#63 | 1.2 | Turnovers | 1.4 | T-#90 |
| T-#105 | 7.2 | Penalties | 5.8 | T-#49 |
| #135 | 72.7 | Penalty Yards | 52.1 | T-#60 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#73 | 1.9 | Sacks | 2.8 | T-#13 |
| T-#22 | 1.1 | INTs | 0.6 | T-#97 |
| T-#47 | 0.6 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.4 | T-#68 |
| T-#27 | 1.7 | Takeaways | 1.0 | T-#93 |
| #66 | 6.1 | Penalties Drawn | 5.8 | T-#85 |
| #48 | 58.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 57.2 | T-#51 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#50 | 7-6 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 5-6 | T-#84 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Manny Diaz | Head Coach | Bill Belichick | ||
| T-#64 | 3 | Seasons at School | 2 | T-#90 |
| #39 | 39-24 | Career Record | 4-8 | T-#118 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Darian Mensah | QB | Giovanni Lopez | ||
| #19 | +0.43 | EPA / Att | +0.03 | #118 |
| #27 | 49.7% | Success Rate | 38.9% | #116 |
| #61 | 1.51 | Explosiveness | 1.21 | #124 |
| #67 | 4.6% | Sack Rate | 1.9% | #8 |
| #110 | +0.03 | Rush EPA | +0.33 | #46 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #16WR | Cooper Barkate+64.3 | Playmaker · PPA | Jordan Shipp+40.6 | 91.4thWR |
| #20RB | Nate Sheppard+38.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Kobe Paysour+16.0 | 70.0thWR |
| 97.1thLB | Luke Mergott+18.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Melkart Abou Jaoude+15.9 | 97.5thDL |
| 95.4thDB | Chandler Rivers+17.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Andrew Simpson+15.8 | 95.0thLB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#62 | 7 | 4★ Players | 17 | T-#34 |
| T-#6 | 67 | 3★ Players | 49 | T-#57 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||